Mutual Point-winning Probabilities (MPW): a New Performance Measure for Table Tennis

Christophe Ley and Yves Dominicy

Working Papers ECARES from ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles

Abstract: We propose a new performance measure for table tennis players: the mutual point-winning probabilities (MPW) as server and receiver. The MPWs quantify a player's chances to win a point against a given opponent, and hence nicely complement the classical match statistics history between two players. We shall describe the MPWs, explain the statistics underpinning their calculation, and show via a Monte Carlo simulation study that our estimation procedure works well. As an illustration of the MPWs' versatile use, we use it as an alternative ranking method in two round-robin tournaments of ten respectively eleven table tennis players that we have ourselves organized.

Keywords: bradley-terry model; maximum likelihood estimation; round-robin tournament; sport performance analysis; strength model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 12 p.
Date: 2017-05
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ecm and nep-spo
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