EconPapers    
Economics at your fingertips  
 

On the indeterminacy of determinacy and indeterminacy

Andreas Beyer () and Roger Farmer

No 277, Working Paper Series from European Central Bank

Abstract: A number of authors have attempted to test whether the U.S. economy is in a determinate or an indeterminate equilibrium. We argue that to answer this question, one must impose a priori restrictions on lag length that cannot be tested. We provide examples of two economic models. Model 1 displays an indeterminate equilibrium, driven by sunspots. Model 2 displays a determinate equilibrium driven by fundamentals. Given assumptions about the shock distribution of model 2, it is possible to find a distribution of sunspot shocks that drive model 1 such that the two models are observationally equivalent. JEL Classification: C39, C62, D51

Keywords: identification; indeterminacy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2003-09
Note: 336354
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (15)

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.ecb.europa.eu//pub/pdf/scpwps/ecbwp277.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Working Paper: On the Indeterminacy of Determinacy and Indeterminacy (2003) Downloads
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:2003277

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in Working Paper Series from European Central Bank 60640 Frankfurt am Main, Germany. Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Official Publications ().

 
Page updated 2025-03-19
Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:2003277