Welfare-based monetary policy rules in an estimated DSGE model of the US economy
Michel Juillard () and
No 613, Working Paper Series from European Central Bank
We develop and estimate a stylized micro-founded model of the US economy. Next we compute the parameters of a simple interest rate policy rule that maximizes the unconditional mean of utility. We show that such a welfare-based rule lies close to the Taylor efficiency frontier. A counterfactual analysis assesses to what extent using such a rule as a guideline for monetary policy would have helped to avoid the inflationary swings of the 1970s and reduce the severity of boom and bust cycles. The paper also provides estimates of the welfare implications of business cycle variability and discusses their relevance. JEL Classification: C51, E31, E52
Keywords: competition; markups; monetary policy; Taylor rule (search for similar items in EconPapers)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:2006613
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