Excess money growth and inflation dynamics

Barbara Roffia and Andrea Zaghini

No 749, Working Paper Series from European Central Bank

Abstract: The paper analyses the short-run impact of periods of strong monetary growth on inflation dynamics for 15 industrialised economies. We find that, over a 3-year horizon, the positive link between monetary aggregates and prices holds in approximately fifty percent of the cases. An econometric investigation suggests that a contemporaneous increase in the gap measures of the real stock price and real housing price and strong dynamics of loans to the private sector significantly increase the probability of turning an episode of excessive money growth into an inflationary outburst. JEL Classification: E31, E40

Keywords: inflation; money growth; quantity theory of money (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2007-05
Note: 155132
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (57)

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Related works:
Working Paper: Excess money growth and inflation dynamics (2008)
Journal Article: Excess Money Growth and Inflation Dynamics (2007)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:2007749

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