The global effects of the euro debt crisis

Livio Stracca

No 1573, Working Paper Series from European Central Bank

Abstract: This paper is an event study focusing on the global effects of the euro debt crisis in 2010-2013. After identifying 18 key exogenous crisis events, I analyse the impact on equity returns, exchange rates and government bond yields in 12 advanced and 13 emerging countries. The main effect of euro debt crisis events is a rise in global risk aversion accompanied by fall in equity returns, in particular in the financial sector, in advanced countries (but not in emerging countries). The effect on bond yields is not statistically significant for the whole set of countries, but is significant and negative for key advanced countries such as the US and the UK. The paper also analyse the transmission channels by looking at how pre-crisis country characteristics influence the strength and direction of the spill-over, concluding that the transmission hinges more on trade than on fi nance. JEL Classification: F3

Keywords: contagion; euro debt crisis; global risk aversion; spill-over (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013-08
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cba, nep-eec and nep-opm
Note: 335958
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (17)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20131573

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