Assessing asset purchases within the ECB’s securities markets programme

Bernd Schwaab and Fabian Eser

No 1587, Working Paper Series from European Central Bank

Abstract: We assess the yield impact of asset purchases within the ECB’s Securities Markets Programme in five euro area sovereign bond markets during 2010-11. Identification is non-trivial and based on time series panel data regression on predetermined purchases and control covariates. In addition to large and economically significant announcement effects, we find an average impact at the five year maturity per e1 bn of bond purchases of approximately -1 to -2 bps (Italy), -3 bps (Ireland), -4 to -6 bps (Spain), -6 to -9 bps (Portugal), and up to -17 to -21 bps (Greece). The impact depends on market size and a default risk signal, and is approximately -3 basis points at a five-year maturity for purchases of 1/1000 of the respective debt market. Bond yield volatility is lower on intervention days for most SMP countries, due to less extreme movements occurring when the Eurosystem is active as a buyer. A dynamic specification points to both transitory and longer-lived effects from purchases. JEL Classification: C32, G12

Keywords: central bank asset purchases; effectiveness of non-standard monetary policy measures; European Central Bank; Securities Markets Programme (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013-09
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-eec, nep-mac and nep-mon
Note: 955417
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (81)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20131587

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