Capital inflows and euro area long-term interest rates

Michael Fidora and Daniel Carvalho

No 1798, Working Paper Series from European Central Bank

Abstract: Capital flows into the euro area were particularly large in the mid-2000s and the share of foreign holdings of euro area securities increased substantially between the introduction of the euro and the outbreak of the global financial crisis. We show that the increase in foreign holdings of euro area bonds in this period is associated with a reduction of euro area long-term interest rates by about 1.55 percentage points, which is in line with previous studies that document a similar impact of foreign bond buying on US Treasury yields. These results are relevant both from a euro area and a global perspective, as they show that the phenomenon of lower long-term interest rates due to foreign bond buying is not exclusive to the United States and foreign inflows into euro area debt securities may have added to increased risk appetite and hunt-for-yield at the global level. JEL Classification: E44, F21, F41, G15, E43

Keywords: capital flows; long-term interest rates ECB (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015-06
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-eec and nep-mon
Note: 491968
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (19)

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Related works:
Journal Article: Capital inflows and euro area long-term interest rates (2015)
Working Paper: Capital Inflows and euro area long-term interest rates (2014)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20151798

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