The risk-adjusted monetary policy rule

Sebastian Schmidt and Taisuke Nakata

No 1985, Working Paper Series from European Central Bank

Abstract: Macroeconomists are increasingly using nonlinear models to account for the effects of risk in the analysis of business cycles. In the monetary business cycle models widely used at central banks, an explicit recognition of risk generates a wedge between the inflation-target parameter in the monetary policy rule and the risky steady state (RSS) of inflation - the rate to which inflation will eventually converge - which can be undesirable in some practical applications. We propose a simple modification to the standard monetary policy rule to eliminate the wedge. In the proposed risk-adjusted policy rule, the intercept of the rule is modified so that the RSS of inflation equals the inflation-target parameter in the policy rule. JEL Classification: E32, E52

Keywords: effective lower bound; inflation targeting; monetary policy rule; risk; risky steady state (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016-11
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cba, nep-mac and nep-mon
Note: 2179645
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (13)

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Working Paper: The Risk-Adjusted Monetary Policy Rule (2016)
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