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Interest rates and foreign spillovers

Roberto A. De Santis and Srečko Zimic

No 2221, Working Paper Series from European Central Bank

Abstract: We show that medium-term interest rates in the euro area, Japan, UK and US are affected by domestic and foreign shocks. We find that US rates are the main source of spillovers globally and are less exposed to foreign shocks. Foreign spillovers to European rates were negligible only during the sovereign debt crisis and the introduction of more aggressive monetary policies by the ECB. We identify causal relations among asset prices through structural vector autoregressions (SVAR) and magnitude restrictions. We use preliminary regressions on event days to estimate key parameters employed to constrain the structural parameter space of the SVAR. JEL Classification: C3, G2

Keywords: event-study; magnitude restrictions; money market rates; spillovers; SVAR (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-eec and nep-mon
Date: 2019-01
Note: 185689
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20192221

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