Regional economic impact of Covid-19: the role of sectoral structure and trade linkages

Philipp Meinen, Roberta Serafini and Ottavia Papagalli

No 2528, Working Paper Series from European Central Bank

Abstract: The paper provides an ex-post analysis of the determinants of within-country regional heterogeneity of the labour market impact of COVID-19. By focussing on the first wave of the pandemic in the four largest euro area economies, it finds that the propagation of the economic impact across regions cannot be explained by the spread of infections only. Instead, a region’s economic structure is a significant driver of the observed heterogeneity. Moreover, our results suggest that a region's trade relations, both within and across countries, represent a relevant indirect channel through which COVID-19 related disruptions affect regional economic activity. In this regard, the analysis depicts vulnerabilities arising from potential disruptions of the highly integrated EU supply chains. JEL Classification: R11, F14, J40, R15

Keywords: COVID-19 pandemic; input-output linkages; regional differences; sectoral exposure; short-time work (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021-02
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-geo, nep-hme, nep-int and nep-ure
Note: 375045
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (7)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20212528

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