Navigating credit dynamics: does it matter for firm-level investment? Evidence from AnaCredit

Lorena Saiz and Serkan Kocabaş

No 3173, Working Paper Series from European Central Bank

Abstract: This study investigates how credit supply shocks impact firm-level investment across the euro area using the novel AnaCredit database. Employing the methodology developed by Amiti and Weinstein (2018), we decompose loan growth rates into four components: bank-specific, firm-specific, industry-specific, and common shocks. Our findings show that idiosyncratic bank supply shocks significantly affect firm-level investment, particularly among firms that are highly dependent on bank loans. Furthermore, these granular bank-specific shocks explain most of the aggregate loan dynamics. We also find that the effects of bank shocks vary depending on firm characteristics, such as firm size, loan portfolio composition, and reliance on external financing. These results underscore the critical role banks play in shaping investment dynamics, especially under varying economic conditions. JEL Classification: E22, E50, G21, G31

Keywords: AnaCredit; bank credit; credit supply; investment; real effects (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2026-01
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20263173

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