Macroeconomic effects of carbon-intensive energy price changes: a model comparison

Matthias Burgert, Matthieu Darracq Pariès, Romanos Priftis, Oke Röhe, Matthias Rottner, Edgar Silgado-Gómez, Nikolai Stähler, Luigi Durand, Mario González and Janos Varga

No 3192, Working Paper Series from European Central Bank

Abstract: This paper presents a novel model comparison to examine the challenges posed by changes in carbon-intensive energy prices for monetary policy. The employed environmental monetary models have a detailed multi-sector structure. The comparison assesses the effects of both a temporary and a permanent energy price increase with a particular focus on the euro area and the United States. Temporary and permanent price shocks are both inflationary. However, the inflationary impact of the permanent shock depends on the underlying model assumptions and monetary policy response. The analysis also establishes that these models share large commonalities in their quantitative and qualitative results, while also pointing out cross-country differences. JEL Classification: C54, E52, H23, Q43

Keywords: climate change; DSGE models; model comparison; monetary policy; multi-sector models (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2026-02
Note: 604093
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20263192

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