Economics at your fingertips  

The Asymmetric Effects of Uncertainty on Inflation and Output Growth

Kalvinder Shields, Kevin Grier (), Ólan Henry () and Nilss Olekalns ()

No 187, Royal Economic Society Annual Conference 2003 from Royal Economic Society

Abstract: We study the effects of growth volatility and inflation volatility on average rates of output growth and inflation for post-war U.S. data. Our results suggest that growth uncertainty is associated with higher average growth and lower average inflation. Inflation uncertainty is significantly negatively correlated with both output growth and average inflation. Both inflation and growth display evidence of significant asymmetric response to positive and negative shocks of equal magnitude.

Keywords: growth; inflation; uncertainty; asymmetry; generalised impluse response functions (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E39 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2003-06-04
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (12) Track citations by RSS feed

Downloads: (external link) full text

Related works:
Journal Article: The asymmetric effects of uncertainty on inflation and output growth (2004) Downloads
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link:

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in Royal Economic Society Annual Conference 2003 from Royal Economic Society Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Christopher F. Baum ().

Page updated 2019-10-13
Handle: RePEc:ecj:ac2003:187