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Conditional Welfare Comparisons of Monetary Policy Rules

Andrew Levin () and Jinill Kim

No 667, Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings from Econometric Society

Abstract: Various approaches to optimal monetary policy have been used to select time-invariant policy rules, including the timeless perspective approach by Woodford (1999) and the unconditional expected utility criterion of McCallum (2000). In this paper, we argue instead that policy rules should be evaluated in terms of the household’s conditional welfare at the time of adoption, integrated over the ergodic distribution of initial conditions generated by the previous policy. Thus, the performance of time-invariant rules can be compared against the benchmark value achieved by the Ramsey solution, while ensuring that the coefficients of the rule are not fine-tuned to specific values of the initial conditions. Finally, using the benchmark new Keynesian model, we consider the case when the initial conditions are generated by optimal policy under discretion, and show that the optimal time-invariant rule yields conditional welfare superior to that of the rules previously proposed in the lite

Keywords: monetary policy rules; time invariant rules; timeless perspective; conditional welfare (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E52 E61 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2004-08-11
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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Related works:
Working Paper: Conditional Welfare Comparisons of Monetary Policy Rules (2005)
Working Paper: Conditional Welfare Comparisons of Monetary Policy Rules (2004)
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