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The long run relationship between stock prices and goods prices: new evidence from panel cointegration

Andros Gregoriou and Alexandros Kontonikas ()

No 2008-32, SIRE Discussion Papers from Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE)

Abstract: We examine the long run relationship between stock prices and goods prices to gauge whether stock market investment can hedge against inflation. Data from sixteen OECD countries over the period 1970-2006 are used. We account for different inflation regimes with the use of sub-sample regressions, whilst maintaining the power of tests in small sample sizes by combining time-series data across our sample countries in a panel unit root and panel cointegration econometric framework. The evidence supports a positive long-run relationship between goods prices and stock prices with the estimated goods price coefficient being in line with the generalized Fisher hypothesis.

Date: 2008
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Related works:
Journal Article: The long-run relationship between stock prices and goods prices: New evidence from panel cointegration (2010) Downloads
Working Paper: THE LONG RUN RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN STOCK PRICES AND GOODS PRICES: NEW EVIDENCE FROM PANEL COINTEGRATION Downloads
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