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Income expectations, risk attitudes and household borrowing decisions

Eva Branten ()

No wp2023-5, Bank of Estonia Working Papers from Bank of Estonia

Abstract: This paper studies whether positive expectations for real income and risk aversion can provide information beyond that given by the main economic and sociodemographic characteristics for predicting whether a household applied for a loan or increased its outstanding liabilities. Microdata from the Eurosystem Household Finance and Consumption Survey (HFCS) are employed in the study, which covers a subgroup of the countries conducting the survey that have a panel component. The main estimation method used is a set of panel data fixed effects models. The estimation results imply that positive expectations for real income matter for increases in mortgage loans, but not for non-mortgage loans. Risk aversion is negatively related with the probability of applying for a loan but has no significant effect on an increase in debt

Keywords: household borrowing; financial expectations; risk attitudes; Eurosystem Household Finance and Consumption Survey (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D14 G51 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024-02-23, Revised 2024-02-23
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