CAMA Working Papers

From Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University
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2026-07: Shifts in Australian Price-Setting Behaviour Around Large Shocks

Matthew Fink and Jonathan Hambur

2026-06: Fiscal Policies Are Not All Alike: Composition Effects, Regime Switching and Uncertainty

Jerome Creel, Serena Ionta and Guido Traficante

2026-05: Heaven or Earth? The Evolving Role of Global Shocks for Domestic Monetary Policy

Kristin Forbes, Jongrim Ha and M. Ayhan Kose

2026-04: Saving by Shopping? The Limits of Substitution in Household Production

Miyu Iwasaki and Kozo Ueda

2026-03: Liquidity Trap and Optimal Monetary Policy: Evaluations for U.S. Monetary Policy from 2020 to 2023

Kohei Hasui, Tomohiro Sugo and Yuki Teranishi

2026-02: Behavioral Expectations Under Indeterminacy: An Empirical Evaluation

Yasuo Hirose and Donghoon Yoo

2026-01: Time-Varying Human Capital and Energy Consumption for a Panel of OECD Countries in the Long-Run

Kris Ivanovski, Russell Smyth and Xibin Zhang

2025-72: Critical Minerals in an Age of Geopolitical Rivalry: Stockpiling, Refining Constraints, and the Limits of Friend-Shoring

Jamel Saadaoui, Russell Smyth, Joaquin Vespignani and Yitian Wang

2025-71: Investment in Emerging and Developing Economies

Amat Adarov, Ayhan Kose and Dana Vorisek

2025-70: Recycling or Stockpiling? Country-Specific Strategies for Securing EV Battery Critical Minerals

Yitian Wang, Joaquin Vespignani and Russell Smyth

2025-69: The Green Transition and Households' Macroeconomic Expectations: A Survey Experiment

Tjantana Barro, Michal Marenčák and Giang Nghiem

2025-68: Monetary Policy, Stock Prices and Temporal Aggregation in a New Keynesian Model with Behavioural Expectations

Christian Proaño and Naira Kotb

2025-67: Dynamic Effects of Industrial Policies Amidst Geoeconomic Tensions

Ziran Ding, Adam Hal Spencer and Zinan Wang

2025-66: Fertility and Education Decisions in Developing Countries: The Role of Social Norms

Trang Le, George Kudrna and John Piggott

2025-65: Slow and Steady Wins the Race: How Autonomy Facilitates Long-Haul Truck Electrification

Anthony Wiskich

2025-64: Adding Macroprudential Policy to the Mix: When Monetary, Fiscal and Macroprudential Authorities Interact

Richard Dennis and Pelin Ilbas

2025-63: Sectoral Spillovers in Inflation Dynamics: Empirical Evidence from Network Propagation

Yun Young Gwak

2025-62: Monetary Policy Shocks and Narrative Restrictions: Rules Matter

Efrem Castelnuovo, Giovanni Pellegrino and Laust L. Sarkjar

2025-61: The Global Reach of US Monetary Policy: Suggestive Evidence from the Global Financial Crisis and the COVID-19 Pandemic

Kozo Ueda and Kota Watanabe

2025-60: The Global Reach of US Monetary Policy: Suggestive Evidence from the Global Financial Crisis and the COVID-19 Pandemic

Alfred V Guender, Jacob Greig, Kuntal Das and Jakub Pesek

2025-59: Tariff Policy Activism and the Trade Balance Under Multiplicative Uncertainty: A Cautionary Tale

Alfred V Guender and Onur Koska

2025-58: Is Inflation Driven by Aggregate or Sectoral Output Gaps?

James Morley and Jieying Zhang

2025-57: Strategic Complementarity and Slow Inflation Convergence: Evidence from Dynamic Beauty Contest

Kozo Ueda, Yoshio Kamijo and Hideaki Minami

2025-56: Dollar Funding and Housing Markets: The Role of Non-US Global Banks

Torsten Ehlers, Mathias Hoffmann and Alexander Raabe

2025-55: Environmental Pressure in Supply Chains: Pass-Through Effects on R&D and Innovation

Tiago Cavalcanti, Kamiar Mohaddes, Hongyu Nian and Haitao Yin

2025-54: Forecasting Oil and Natural Gas Prices: A Model Combination Approach

Ruben Aag, Hilde Bjørnland and Peder Eliassen

2025-53: Data-Driven Learning About Trend Productivity Growth

Eiji Goto, Jan Jacobs and Simon van Norden

2025-52: Bayesian Estimation of DSGE Models: An Update

Pablo A. Guerron-Quintana and James Nason

2025-51: Women's Education, Employment, and Cost of Family Formation: A Structural Analysis of Fertility Decline in Korea

Jong-Wha Lee and Eunbi Song

2025-50: Persistent Global Growth Differences and Euro Area Adjustment: Real Activity, Trade and the Real Exchange Rate

Adrian Ifrim, Robert Kollmann, Philipp Pfeiffer, Marco Ratto and Werner Roeger

2025-49: Rapid Productivity Growth in Asia: Internal and External Financing

Renee Fry-McKibbin, Weifeng Larry Liu and Warwick McKibbin

2025-48: Driving Down Personal Aviation Demand

Anthony Wiskich

2025-47: Monetary Policy and Informal Labor Markets

Satadru Das, Chetan Ghate, Subhadeep Halder, Debojyoti Mazumder, Sreerupa Sengupta and Satyarth Singh

2025-46: Greening thy Neighbour: How the US Inflation Reduction Act Drives Climate Finance Globally

Daniel te Kaat, Alexander Raabe and Yuanjie Tian

2025-45: Nowcasting Transaction-Based House Price Indices Using Web-Scraped Listings and MIDAS Regression

Radoslaw Trojanek, Luke Hartigan, Norbert Pfeifer and Miriam Steurer

2025-44: From Tailwinds to Headwinds: Emerging and Developing Economies in the Twenty-First Century

Mirco Balatti, Ayhan Kose, Kate McKinnon, Edoardo Palombo, Naotaka Sugawara, Guillermo Verduzco-Bustos and Dana Vorisek

2025-43: Words Matter: Central Bank Communication and Household Expectations in a Global Panel

Martin Feldkircher and Christos A. Makridis

2025-42: Strategic Stockpiling Reduces the Geopolitical Risk to the Supply Chain of Copper and Lithium

Joaquin Vespignani, Russell Smyth and Jamel Saadaoui

2025-41: Higher Education Quality, Income and Innovation: Cross-Country Evidence

Hanol Lee and Jong-Wha Lee

2025-40: The Return of Inflation: Look-Through Policy Under Incomplete Information

Ginters Buss and Guido Traficante

2025-39: The Drivers and Macroeconomic Impacts of Low-Carbon Innovation: A Cross-Country Exploration

Zeina Hasna, Henry Hatton, Florence Jaumotte, Jaden Kim, Kamiar Mohaddes and Samuel Pienknagura

2025-38: Federal Reserve Communication and the COVID-19 Pandemic

Jonathan Benchimol, Sophia Kazinnik and Yossi Saadon

2025-37: Low-Carbon Transition Policies, Skill-Driven Inequality, and Endogenous Political Cleavages

Marwil Dávila-Fernández, Christian Proaño and Serena Sordi

2025-36: Why Institutions Endure: Norms, Leadership, and What Enables Reform

Omer Majeed

2025-35: What Do Central Bankers Talk About? Evidence From the BIS Archive

Martin Feldkircher, Petr Korab and Viktoriya Teliha

2025-34: Estimating Behavioral Inattention

Jonathan Benchimol, Lahcen Bounader and Mario Dotta

2025-33: The Effects of Macroeconomic Shocks and Uncertainty on Bangladesh's Fiscal Sustainability

Mohammad Mahabub Alam

2025-32: Of House and Home-Related Goods: The Home Purchase Channel of Expenditure

Giovanni Favara, James Graham and Geng Li

2025-31: Long-Term Projections of the World Economy

Weifeng Larry Liu and Warwick McKibbin

2025-30: Tradeoffs over Rate Cycles: Activity, Inflation and the Price Level

Kristin Forbes, Jongrim Ha and Ayhan Kose