CAMA Working Papers

From Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University
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2021-34: Rising temperatures, falling ratings: The effect of climate change on sovereign creditworthiness

Patrycja Klusak, Matthew Agarwala, Matt Burke, Moritz Kraemer and Kamiar Mohaddes

2021-33: US banking deregulation and local economic growth: A spatial analysis

Laura Spierdijk, Pieter IJtsma and Sherrill Shaffer

2021-32: UK inflation forecasts since the thirteenth century

James Nason and Gregor Smith

2021-31: Energy potential assessments and investment opportunities for wind energy in Indonesia

Nurry Widya Hesty, Dian Galuh Cendrawati, Rabindra Nepal and Muhammad Indra al Irsyad

2021-30: DGE model for assessing macro-fiscal vulnerabilities in Algeria

Emmanuel Pinto Moreira and Baris Alpaslan

2021-29: Imperfect information, heterogeneous demand shocks, and inflation dynamics

Tatsushi Okuda, Tomohiro Tsuruga and Francesco Zanetti

2021-28: Covid-19 fiscal support and its effectiveness

Alexander Chudik, Kamiar Mohaddes and Mehdi Raissi

2021-27: Investigating a measure of conventional and unconventional stimulus for the euro area

Arne Halberstadt and Leo Krippner

2021-26: Identifying high-frequency shocks with Bayesian mixed-frequency VARs

Alessia Paccagnini and Fabio Parla

2021-25: Softening the blow: US state-level banking deregulation and sectoral reallocation after the China trade shock

Mathias Hoffmann and Lilia Ruslanova

2021-24: Are autocracies bad for the environment? Global evidence from two centuries of data

Apra Sinha, Ashish Kumar Sedai, Abhishek Kumar and Rabindra Nepal

2021-23: COVID-19 and seasonal adjustment

Barend Abeln and Jan Jacobs

2021-22: The “Matthew effect” and market concentration: Search complementarities and monopsony power

Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, Federico Mandelman, Yang Yu and Francesco Zanetti

2021-21: Global uncertainty

Giovanni Caggiano and Efrem Castelnuovo

2021-20: Diversifier or more? Hedge and safe haven properties of green bonds during COVID-19

Muhammad Arif, Muhammad Abubakr Naeem, Saqib Farid, Rabindra Nepal and Tooraj Jamasb

2021-19: Electrification and welfare for the marginalized: Evidence from India

Ashish Kumar Sedai, Tooraj Jamasb, Rabindra Nepal and Ray Miller

2021-18: Implications of the slowdown in trend growth for fiscal policy in a small open economy

Alexander Beames, Mariano Kulish and Nadine Yamout

2021-17: Macroeconomic policy adjustments due to COVID-19: Scenarios to 2025 with a focus on Asia

Roshen Fernando and Warwick McKibbin

2021-16: Monetary policy, firm heterogeneity, and product variety

Masashige Hamano and Francesco Zanetti

2021-15: What affects bank market power in the Euro area? A structural model approach

Paolo Coccorese, Claudia Girardone and Sherrill Shaffer

2021-14: Nowcasting 'true' monthly US GDP during the pandemic

Gary Koop, Stuart McIntyre, James Mitchell and Aubrey Poon

2021-13: How do oil shocks transmit through the US economy? Evidence from a large BVAR model with stochastic volatility

Renee Fry-McKibbin and Beili Zhu

2021-12: Pandemics and aggregate demand: A framework for policy analysis

Peter Flaschel, Giorgos Galanis, Daniele Tavani and Roberto Veneziani

2021-11: What explains excess trade persistence? A theory of habits in the supply chains

Mariarosaria Comunale, Justas Dainauskas and Povilas Lastauskas

2021-10: Oil and fiscal policy regimes

Hilde Bjørnland, Roberto Casarin, Marco Lorusso and Francesco Ravazzolo

2021-09: The macroeconomic effects of commodity price uncertainty

Trung Duc Tran

2021-08: Taxes and firm investment

Kerim Arin, Kevin Devereux and Mieszko Mazur

2021-07: Duopolistic competition and monetary policy

Kozo Ueda

2021-06: American business cycles 1889-1913: An accounting approach

Dou Jiang and Mark Weder

2021-05: Liquidity traps in a world economy

Robert Kollmann

2021-04: Can older workers stay productive? The role of ICT skills and training

Jong-Wha Lee, Do Won Kwak and Eunbi Song

2021-03: Endogenous product scope: Market interlacing and aggregate business cycle dynamics

Oscar Pavlov and Mark Weder

2021-02: Investment Housing Tax Concessions and Welfare: Evidence from Australia

Yunho Cho, Shuyun May Li and Lawrence Uren

2021-01: Stamping out stamp duty: Property or consumption taxes?

Yunho Cho, Shuyun May Li and Lawrence Uren

2020-111: Computing time-consistent equilibria: A perturbation approach

Richard Dennis

2020-110: Commodity price volatility, external debt and exchange rate regimes

Monoj Kumar Majumder, Mala Raghavan and Joaquin Vespignani

2020-109: An unobserved components model of total factor productivity and the relative price of investment

Joshua Chan and Edouard Wemy

2020-108: Fast and accurate variational inference for large Bayesian VARs with stochastic volatility

Joshua Chan and Xuewen Yu

2020-107: Redistribution and the monetary–fiscal policy mix

Saroj Bhattarai, Jae Won Lee and Choongryul Yang

2020-106: Be kind or take it on the chin? Political narratives, pandemics, and social distancing

Kartik Anand, Prasanna Gai, Edmund Lou and Sherry X Wu

2020-105: Federal reserve chair communication sentiments’ heterogeneity, personal characteristics, and their impact on target rate discovery

Juan Arismendi-Zambrano, Massimo Guidolin and Alessia Paccagnini

2020-104: Surety bonds and moral hazard in banking

Gerald Dwyer, Augusto Hasman and Margarita Samartín

2020-103: Climate change, strict Pareto improvements in welfare and multilateral financial transfers

Christos Kotsogiannis and Alan Woodland

2020-102: The (ir)relevance of rule-of-thumb consumers for US business cycle fluctuations

Alice Albonico, Guido Ascari and Qazi Haque

2020-101: Three questions regarding impulse responses and their interpretation found from sign restrictions

Sam Ouliaris and Adrian Pagan

2020-100: Uncertainty shocks and inflation dynamics in the US

Qazi Haque and Leandro Magnusson

2020-99: Time-varying trend models for forecasting inflation in Australia

Na Guo, Bo Zhang and Jamie Cross

2020-98: Optimal simple objectives for monetary policy when banks matter

Lien Laureys, Roland Meeks and Boromeus Wanengkirtyo

2020-97: High-frequency monitoring of growth-at-risk

Laurent Ferrara, Matteo Mogliani and Jean-Guillaume Sahuc

2020-96: Endogenous fertility, externality and phase out of pensions

Amol, Monisankar Bishnu, Harsh Kumar and Tridip Ray