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Energy paths in the European Union: A model-based clustering approach

Zsuzsanna Csereklyei, Paul W. Thurner, Johannes Langer and Helmut Küchenhoff

CCEP Working Papers from Centre for Climate Economics & Policy, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University

Abstract: This paper examines typical “energy paths”, i.e. the intertemporal development of the energy mixes of the member states of the European Union over 1971-2010. We apply model based clustering to detect major energy profiles and their compositional dynamics. The seven identified clusters show typical combinations of energy carriers dominating the primary energy consumption of a country. We find that countries tend to take a path towards higher quality energy mixes over time, however path inertia and dependencies arise from both infrastructure and resource endowments. Higher energy quality profiles are usually associated with higher national income and energy use per capita, supporting some evidence on the existence of a national-level energy ladder. We also find convergence in energy intensity over time, and a relationship between own resources and import dependency.

Keywords: European Union; energy paths; path dependencies; model based clustering (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q40 Q48 O33 C11 C38 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ene, nep-eur and nep-reg
Date: 2017-01
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:een:ccepwp:1701

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