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Renewable Technologies and Risk Mitigation in Small Island Developing States (SIDS): Fiji's Electricity Sector

Matthew Dornan and Frank Jotzo

Crawford School Research Papers from Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University

Abstract: In recent years, renewable energy technologies have been advocated in Small Island Developing States (SIDS) in the Pacific as a risk-mitigation measure against oil price volatility. Despite this, there have been no attempts to measure the impact of renewable technologies on financial risk in these countries. This paper develops and applies a stochastic simulation model in order to assess the effect of renewable technologies on the financial risk and cost of electricity supply in Fiji. The modelling results support investments in some, although not all, renewable technologies. Investments in low-cost, low-risk technologies such as energy efficiency, geothermal, biomass and bagasse technologies are found to lower both portfolio generation costs and financial risk. This suggests the Government of Fiji should be encouraging further investment in these technologies, commensurate with increases in total electricity supply. It also suggests that the FEA should prioritize such investments over its planned expansion of hydro-power generation. Renewable technology investments in other SIDS in the Pacific are likely to involve similar risk mitigation benefits.

Keywords: Pacific island countries; renewable energy technologies; small island developing states; SIDS; risk mitigation; portfolio theory; electricity generation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O14 Q40 Q42 Q47 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 59 pages
Date: 2012-02
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ene
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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http://ssrn.com/abstract=2037657

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Working Paper: Renewable Technologies and Risk Mitigation in Small Island Developing States (SIDS): Fiji’s Electricity Sector (2012) Downloads
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:een:crwfrp:1201

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