An Estimated Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model for Armenian Economy
Barseghyan Gayane ()
EERC Working Paper Series from EERC Research Network, Russia and CIS
Abstract:
The paper develops and estimates a microfounded small open economy new Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model for Armenian economy. To capture empirical persistence in Armenian macroeconomic data the model features number of frictions. Estimation of structural parameters of the DSGE model is performed on Armenian quarterly data from 2000 to 2012, using Bayesian full-system estimation techniques. The estimation shows that the model is able to replicate Armenian quarterly data. Moreover, the paper finds that the estimated model provides competing out-of-sample forecast compared with VAR and random walk models.
JEL-codes: E12 E27 E43 E52 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013-10-10
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