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Market fragmentation and contagion

Rohit Rahi and Jean-Pierre Zigrand

LSE Research Online Documents on Economics from London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library

Abstract: We study the transmission of liquidity shocks from one sector of the economy to other sectors in a general equilibrium model with multiple trading venues connected by profit-seeking arbitrageurs. Arbitrageurs effectively provide liquidity to investors by intermediating trades between venues. The welfare impact on venue k of a liquidity shock on venue l can go in either direction, depending on whether intermediated trades on k behave as complements or substitutes for such trades on l. In addition to this direct effect through the arbitrage network, there is a feedback effect of an adverse shock reducing liquidity and arbitrageur profits, which leads to a lower level of intermediation, further reducing liquidity. We illustrate this contagion with examples of high-frequency trading in equity markets, shocks to one tranche of a collateralized debt obligation impacting investors in the other tranches, carry trade crashes, shocks to cross-country bank lending following the global financial crisis, and the bursting of the Japanese bubble in the early 1990s.

Keywords: market fragmentation; intermediation; arbitrage; liquidity shocks; contagion (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D52 D53 G10 G20 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 30 pages
Date: 2020-08-11
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