Pari-mutuel betting markets: racetracks and lotteries revisited

William T. Ziemba

LSE Research Online Documents on Economics from London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library

Abstract: This survey discusses the state of the art in research in racetrack and lottery investment markets. Market efficiency and the pricing of various wagers are studied along with new developments since the Thaler & Ziemba (1988) review. The weak form inefficient market pricing approach using stochastic programming optimization models changed racetrack betting from handicapping to a financial market allowing professional syndicates to operate as hedge funds. Topics discussed include arbitrage and risk arbitrage, syndicates, betting exchange rebates, behavioral biases, and fundamental and mispricing information in racetrack and lottery markets. Similar models can be used to successfully trade stock market anomalies. Supplemental Materials are included online.

Keywords: pari-mutuel betting markets; efficiency of racetrack betting markets; stochastic programming optimization models; lottery strategies; favorite-longshot bias (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C02 C50 C79 D81 G11 G14 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 22 pages
Date: 2023-11-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-spo
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Published in Annual Review of Financial Economics, 1, November, 2023, 15, pp. 641 - 662. ISSN: 1941-1367

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