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A simple measure of conditional dependence

Mona Azadkia and Sourav Chatterjee

LSE Research Online Documents on Economics from London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library

Abstract: We propose a coefficient of conditional dependence between two random variables Y and Z given a set of other variables X1, . . . , Xp, based on an i.i.d. sample. The coefficient has a long list of desirable properties, the most important of which is that under absolutely no distributional assumptions, it converges to a limit in [0, 1], where the limit is 0 if and only if Y and Z are conditionally independent given X1, . . . , Xp, and is 1 if and only if Y is equal to a measurable function of Z given X1, . . . , Xp. Moreover, it has a natural interpretation as a nonlinear generalization of the familiar partial R2 statistic for measuring conditional dependence by regression. Using this statistic, we devise a new variable selection algorithm, called Feature Ordering by Conditional Independence (FOCI), which is model-free, has no tuning parameters, and is provably consistent under sparsity assumptions. A number of applications to synthetic and real datasets are worked out.

Keywords: conditional dependence; non-parametric measures of association; variable selection (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C1 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021-12-31
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

Published in Annals of Statistics, 31, December, 2021. ISSN: 0090-5364

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