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Population growth, immigration, and labor market dynamics

Michael Elsby, Jennifer C. Smith and Jonathan Wadsworth

LSE Research Online Documents on Economics from London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library

Abstract: This article provides a first synthesis of population flows and labor market dynamics across immigrant and native-born populations. We devise a novel dynamic accounting methodology that integrates population flows from two sources-changes in birth cohort size and immigrant flows-with labor market dynamics. We illustrate the method using data for the United Kingdom, where population flows have been large and cyclical, driven first by the maturation of baby boom cohorts in the 1980s and later by immigration in the 2000s. New measures of labor market flows by migrant status uncover the flow origins of disparities in the levels and cyclicality of immigrant and native labor market outcomes and their more recent convergence. An application of our accounting framework reveals that population flows have played a nontrivial role in the volatility of labor markets among the UK-born and, especially, immigrants.

Keywords: immigration; labor market dynamics; worker flows (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: J01 R14 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 26 pages
Date: 2024-10-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dem, nep-int, nep-inv and nep-ure
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Published in Demography, 1, October, 2024, 61(5), pp. 1559 - 1584. ISSN: 0070-3370

Downloads: (external link)
http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/125889/ Open access version. (application/pdf)

Related works:
Working Paper: Population growth, immigration and labour market dynamics (2021) Downloads
Working Paper: Population growth, immigration, and labour market dynamics (2021) Downloads
Working Paper: Population growth, immigration and labour market dynamics (2021) Downloads
Working Paper: Population Growth, Immigration and Labour Market Dynamics (2021) Downloads
Working Paper: Population growth, immigration, and labour market dynamics (2021) Downloads
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