How institutions shape the economic returns to investment in European regions?

Inmaculada C. Álvarez, Javier Barbero, Luis Orea and Andrés Rodríguez-Pose

LSE Research Online Documents on Economics from London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library

Abstract: Most studies of institutional quality and regional growth assume uniform effects across territories. However, this may mask crucial regional heterogeneity, with direct policy implications. We use a latent class framework applied to 230 EU regions over 2009-2017 to identify institution-driven regional parameter groups, and to examine both average effects and catching-up effects associated with changes in the institutional environment. We demonstrate that institutional quality generates highly variable returns to investment in physical capital and innovation. Nordic and Central European regions show highest returns to physical capital and R&D investment, whereas less-developed regions benefit most from education spending. Crucially, we find that improving government quality not only raises average returns but also promotes territorial cohesion. By contrast, regional autonomy shows limited impact on returns. Our findings challenge the one-size-fits-all approach to cohesion policy and indicate that cohesion policy should explicitly promote institutional improvements in addition to capital deployment.

Keywords: institutional quality; European funds; investment; regional development (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E61 H54 R11 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 32 pages
Date: 2025-12-24
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Published in Economic Modelling, 24, December, 2025, 155. ISSN: 0264-9993

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ehl:lserod:130747

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