The internal consistency of the standard gamble: tests after adjusting for prospect theory

Adam Oliver

LSE Research Online Documents on Economics from London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library

Abstract: This article reports a study that tests whether the internal consistency of the standard gamble can be improved upon by incorporating loss weighting and probability transformation parameters in the standard gamble valuation procedure. Five alternatives to the standard EU formulation are considered: (1) probability transformation within an EU framework; and, within a prospect theory framework, (2) loss weighting and full probability transformation, (3) no loss weighting and full probability transformation, (4) loss weighting and no probability transformation, and (5) loss weighting and partial probability transformation. Of the five alternatives, only the prospect theory formulation with loss weighting and no probability transformation offers an improvement in internal consistency over the standard EU valuation procedure.

Keywords: Standard gamble; Expected utility theory; Prospect theory; Loss aversion; Probability transformation. JEL classification codes: C90; D81; I10 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C90 D81 I10 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2003
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (19)

Published in Journal of Health Economics, 2003, 22(4), pp. 659-674. ISSN: 0167-6296

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