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The Shimer puzzle and the correct identification of productivity shocks

Régis Barnichon

LSE Research Online Documents on Economics from London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library

Abstract: Shimer (2005a) claims that the Mortensen-Pissarides search model of unemployment lacks an ampiflication mechanism because it cannot generate the observed business cycle fluctuations in unemployment given labor productivity shocks of plausible magnitude. This paper argues that part of the problem lies with the correct identification of productivity shocks. Because of the endogeneity of measured labor productivity, filtering out the trend component as in Shimer (2005a) may not correctly identify the shocks driving unemployment. Using a New- Keynesian framework with search unemployment, this paper estimates that close to 50% of the Shimer puzzle is due to the misidentification of productivity shocks. In addition, I show that extending the search model with an aggregate demand side remarkably improves the ability of the standard search model to match the moments of key labor market variables.

Keywords: unemployment fluctuations; labor productivity; search and matching model; New- Keynesian model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E32 E37 J63 J64 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 32 pages
Date: 2007-08
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (7)

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http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/19691/ Open access version. (application/pdf)

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Working Paper: The Shimer Puzzle and the Correct Identification of Productivity Shocks (2007) Downloads
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ehl:lserod:19691

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