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The time value of housing: historical evidence from London residential leases

Philippe Bracke, Edward Pinchbeck and James Wyatt

LSE Research Online Documents on Economics from London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library

Abstract: Most housing transactions in London involve trading long leases of varying lengths. We exploit this feature to estimate the time value of housing --- the relationship between the value of a property and the length of time it will be owned for --- over the range 1-99 years. To do so, we compile a unique historical dataset from 1987 to 1992 to abstract from current institutional features of the UK system, for instance rights to extend leases that could confound our results. By applying hedonic techniques to these data we provide new evidence on how the market values leasehold properties. We find that the time value of housing over the range 1-99 is similar to an exponential shape, a finding that suggests sophisticated pricing behaviour in the London residential market. Digging deeper, however, we show that leasehold prices depart from this predictable pattern in a way that is consistent with a declining discount rate schedule

Keywords: house prices; discount rates; historical data (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G12 R30 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-his and nep-ure
Date: 2014-12
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http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/64504/ Open access version. (application/pdf)

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Working Paper: The Time Value of Housing: Historical Evidence from London Residential Leases (2014) Downloads
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