Pushing on a string: US monetary policy is less powerful in recessions

Silvana Tenreyro and Gregory Thwaites

LSE Research Online Documents on Economics from London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library

Abstract: We investigate how the response of the US economy to monetary policy shocks depends on the state of the business cycle. The effects of monetary policy are less powerful in recessions, especially for durables expenditure and business investment. The asymmetry relates to how fast the economy is growing, rather than to the level of resource utilization. There is some evidence that fiscal policy has counteracted monetary policy in recessions but reinforced it in booms. We also find evidence that contractionary policy shocks are more powerful than expansionary shocks, but contractionary shocks have not been more common in booms. So this asymmetry cannot explain our main finding.

JEL-codes: E21 E22 E32 E52 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016-10-04
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mac and nep-mon
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (344)

Published in American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 4, October, 2016, 8(4), pp. 43-74. ISSN: 1945-7707

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http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/69214/ Open access version. (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: Pushing on a String: US Monetary Policy Is Less Powerful in Recessions (2016)
Working Paper: Pushing on a String: US Monetary Policy is Less Powerful in Recessions (2015)
Working Paper: Pushing On a String: US Monetary Policy is Less Powerful in Recessions (2013)
Working Paper: Pushing on a string: US monetary policy is less powerful in recessions (2013)
Working Paper: Pushing on a string: US monetary policy is less powerful in recessions (2013)
Working Paper: Pushing on a string: US monetary policy is less powerful in recessions (2013)
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