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Demand expectations and the timing of stimulus policies

Bernardo Guimaraes

LSE Research Online Documents on Economics from London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library

Abstract: This paper proposes a simple macroeconomic model with staggered investment decisions. The model captures the dynamic coordination problem arising from demand externalities and fixed costs of investment. In times of low economic activity, a firm faces low demand and hence has less incentives for investing, which reinforces firms’ expectations of low demand. In the unique equilibrium of the model, demand expectations are pinned down by fundamentals and history. Owing to the beliefs that arise in equilibrium, there is no special reason for stimulus at times of low economic activity.

Keywords: Demand expectations; coordination; fiscal stimulus; timing frictions (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D84 E32 E62 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 40 pages
Date: 2015-12
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

Downloads: (external link)
http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/86322/ Open access version. (application/pdf)

Related works:
Working Paper: Demand expectations and the timing of stimulus policies (2015) Downloads
Working Paper: Demand expectations and the timing of stimulus Policies (2014) Downloads
Working Paper: Demand expectations and the timing of stimulus policies (2014) Downloads
Working Paper: Demand expectations and the timing of stimulus policies (2013) Downloads
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