Informal Work along the Business Cycle: Evidence from Argentina

Julien Albertini, Arthur Poirier and Thepthida Sopraseuth

No 2019-13, THEMA Working Papers from THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise

Abstract: We shed light on the driving forces behind unemployment uctuations and short-run changes in the informality rate on the Argentine labor market. Using Argentine survey data, we measure worker ows between formal employment, informal employment, unemployment and non-participation. We propose a methodology to correct for the discontinuity of Argentine survey data and that is able to compute consistent time series of quarterly ins and outs of informal work. Using variance decompositions and counterfactual exercises, we show that the ins and outs of informal employment are key drivers of labor market uctuations. In particular, out ows from unemployment to informal employment account for 37% of uctuations in the unemployment rate. In addition, our analysis suggests that informality is: (i) a exible sector that is used in recessionary periods as a bu er against income losses and (ii) a stepping stone towards formal employment. The observed large changes in the informality rate are well explained by the change in job mobility between the formal and informal sectors as well as variations in hirings from unemployment and non-participation in the informal sector.

Keywords: worker ows; informality; unemployment; business cycle; emerging market. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E24 E26 J6 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-iue and nep-mac
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

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Related works:
Journal Article: Informal work along the business cycle: evidence from Argentina (2020)
Working Paper: Informal work along the business cycle: evidence from Argentina (2020)
Working Paper: Informal Work along the Business Cycle: Evidence from Argentina (2019)
Working Paper: Informal work along the business cycle: Evidence from Argentina (2019)
Working Paper: Informal Work along the Business Cycle: Evidence from Argentina (2019)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ema:worpap:2019-13

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