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Seasonality in revisions of macroeconomic data

Philip Hans Franses and René Segers

No EI 2008-09, Econometric Institute Research Papers from Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute

Abstract: We analyze five vintages of eighteen quarterly macroeconomic variables for the Netherlands and we focus on the degree of deterministic seasonality in these series. We document that the data show most such deterministic seasonality for their first release vintage and for the last available vintage. In between vintages show a variety of seasonal patterns. We show that seasonal patterns in later vintages can hardly be predicted by those in earlier vintages. The consequences of these findings for the interpretation and modeling of macroeconomic data are discussed.

Keywords: real-time data; seasonality (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C32 C52 C82 E20 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2008-04-14
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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