On the role of seasonal intercepts in seasonal cointegration
Philip Hans Franses and
Robert Kunst ()
No EI 9820, Econometric Institute Research Papers from Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute
In the paper we consider the role of seasonal intercepts in seasonal cointegration analysis. For the nonseasonal unit root, such intercepts can generate a stochastic trend with a drift common to all observations. For the seasonal unit roots, however, we show that unrestricted seasonal intercepts generate trends that are different across the seasons. Since such seasonal trends may not appear in economic data, we propose a modified empirical method to test for seasonal cointegration. We evaluate our method using Monte Carlo simulations and using a four-dimensional data set of Austrian macroeconomic variables.
Keywords: Monte Carlo simulations; seasonal cointegration analysis; seasonal intercepts (search for similar items in EconPapers)
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (6) Track citations by RSS feed
Downloads: (external link)
Journal Article: On the Role of Seasonal Intercepts in Seasonal Cointegration (1999)
Working Paper: On the role of seasonal intercepts in seasonal cointegration (1995)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ems:eureir:1552
Access Statistics for this paper
More papers in Econometric Institute Research Papers from Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by RePub ().