Effect and Improvement Areas for Port State Control Inspections to Decrease the Probability of Casualty

Sabine Knapp and Philip Hans Franses

No EI 2006-32, Econometric Institute Research Papers from Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute

Abstract: This report is the fourth part of a PhD project called "The Econometrics of Maritime Safety – Recommendations to Enhance Safety at Sea" and is based on 183,000 port state control inspections and 11,700 casualties from various data sources. Its overall objective is to provide recommendations to improve safety at sea. The fourth part looks into measuring the effect of inspections on the probability of casualty on either seriousness or casualty first event to show the differences across the regimes. It further gives a link of casualties that were found during inspections with either the seriousness of casualties and casualty first events which reveals three areas of improvement possibilities to potentially decrease the probability of a casualty – the ISM code, machinery and equipment and ship and cargo operations.

Keywords: Port State Control Effectiveness; binary logistic regression; casualty first events; correspondence analysis; detention; improvement; maritime safety; port state control deficiences; probability of casualty; target factor (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G22 L9 L92 R41 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2006-01-01
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