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Testing for Volatility Co-movement in Bivariate Stochastic Volatility Models

Jinghui Chen, Masahito Kobayashi and Michael McAleer

Econometric Institute Research Papers from Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute

Abstract: The paper considers the problem of volatility co-movement, namely as to whether two financial returns have perfectly correlated common volatility process, in the framework of multivariate stochastic volatility models and proposes a test which checks the volatility co-movement. The proposed test is a stochastic volatility version of the co-movement test proposed by Engle and Susmel (1993), who investigated whether international equity markets have volatility co-movement using the framework of the ARCH model. In empirical analysis we found that volatility co-movement exists among closelylinked stock markets and that volatility co-movement of the exchange rate markets tends to be found when the overall volatility level is low, which is contrasting to the often-cited finding in the financial contagion literature that financial returns have co-movement in the level during the financial crisis.

Keywords: Lagrange multiplier test; Volatility co-movement; Stock markets; Exchange rate Markets; Financial crisis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C12 C58 G01 G11 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 30
Date: 2017-02-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dcm, nep-ecm, nep-ets and nep-ore
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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https://repub.eur.nl/pub/99788/EI2017-08-Report.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Working Paper: Testing for Volatility Co-movement in Bivariate Stochastic Volatility Models (2017) Downloads
Working Paper: Testing for volatility co-movement in bivariate stochastic volatility models (2017) Downloads
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