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Fund liquidation, self-selection and look-ahead bias in the hedge fund industry

Jenke ter Horst and Marno Verbeek

ERIM Report Series Research in Management from Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus University Rotterdam

Abstract: A wide range of empirical biases hampers hedge fund databases. In this paper we focus upon survival-related biases and disentangle look-ahead biases due to self-selection of funds and due to fund termination. Self-selection arises because funds voluntarily report their information to data vendors and may decide to stop doing so. By extending existing methodology, we analyze persistence in hedge fund performance over the period 1994-2000, taking into account the above biases. The results show that look-ahead biases due to liquidation and self-selection enforce each other and may lead to overestimating expected returns by as much as 8% per year. Overall, the results are consistent with positive persistence in hedge fund returns at horizons of two and four quarters.

Keywords: Hedge funds; look-ahead bias; performance persistence; self-selection; survival (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G13 G3 M (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2004-12-10
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https://repub.eur.nl/pub/1822/ERS%202004%20104%20F&A.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: Fund Liquidation, Self-selection, and Look-ahead Bias in the Hedge Fund Industry (2007) Downloads
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ems:eureri:1822

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