Oil Prices and Venezuela's Economy

Mark Weisbrot and Rebecca Ray

CEPR Reports and Issue Briefs from Center for Economic and Policy Research (CEPR)

Abstract: This paper looks at Venezuela’s export revenue, imports, and trade and current account balances under a range of oil price outcomes for the next two years. It finds that Venezuela would run large current account surpluses for prices between $60-90 per barrel, and would even run a small surplus with prices at $50 per barrel. (Most oil industry estimates for the next two years are in the range of $80-90 per barrel). The authors conclude that Venezuela is unlikely to run into foreign exchange constraints in the foreseeable future, and can pursue expansionary fiscal policies to counter any economic downturn.

Keywords: Venezuela; Venezuelan oil exports; Venezuelan government revenue (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E E6 E62 F F1 F14 O54 Q4 Q43 Q48 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 11 pages
Date: 2008-11
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mac
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:epo:papers:2008-30

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