 Will China’s Demographic Transition Exacerbate Its Income Inequality? A CGE Modeling with Top-down MicrosimulationXinxin Wang () and Kevin Z Chen () Working Papers from eSocialSciences Abstract: Demographic transition due to population aging is an emerging trend throughout the developing world, and it is especially acute in China, which has undergone demographic transition more rapidly than have most industrial economies. This paper quantifies the distributional effects in the context of demographic transition using an integrated recursive dynamic computable general equilibrium model with top-down behavioral microsimulation. The results of the poverty and inequality index indicate that population aging has a negative impact on the reduction of poverty while its impact is positive with regard to equality. In addition, elderly rural households are experiencing the most serious poverty, and their inequality problems compared with other household groups and within group inequality worsens with demographic transition. These findings not only advance the previous literature but also deserve particular attention from Chinese policy makers. [IFPRI Discussion Paper 01560] Keywords: Demographic Transition; China; income inequality; CGE modeling; Microsimulation; Distributive Effects; poverty; urban areas; coastal regions and inland regions; men and women; industry sectors; demographic dividend; generation; panel data set (search for similar items in EconPapers) Downloads: (external link) Related works: Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ess:wpaper:id:11406 Access Statistics for this paper More papers in Working Papers from eSocialSciences |
Is your work missing from RePEc? Here is how to contribute.
Questions or problems? Check the EconPapers FAQ or send mail to .
EconPapers is hosted by the
School of Business at Örebro University.