A Leading Index for the Indian Economy

Pami Dua and Anirvan Banerji ()

Working Papers from eSocialSciences

Abstract: Over the last few decades, the Indian economy has experienced both classical business cycles and the cyclical fluctuations in its growth rate known as growth rate cycles. In the years since the liberalization of the economy began, these cycles have been driven more by endogenous factors than by exogenous shocks. From the point of view of both policy-makers and businesses, therefore, it is important to find a way to predict Indian recessions and recoveries, along with slowdowns and speedups in growth. This paper adopts a classical leading indicator approach to the problem. [Working Paper No. 90]

Keywords: Indian economy; classical business; cyclical fluctuations; endogenous factors; policy-makers (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010-10
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mac
Note: Institutional Papers
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Working Paper: A Leading Index for the Indian Economy (2001)
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