Long-term labour productivity and GDP projections for the EU25 Member States: a production function framework

Giuseppe Carone, Cécile Denis, Kieran Mc Morrow, Gilles Mourre and Werner Röger

No 253, European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015 from Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission

Abstract: This paper presents the results of long run labour productivity and GDP growth rate projections (until 2050) for each of the 25 EU Member States and provides a detailed overview of the forecast methodology used. These projections were undertaken in order to provide an internationally comparable macroeconomic framework against which to assess the potential economic and fiscal effects of ageing populations. This assessment was carried out as part of the work undertaken by the EU's Economic Policy Committee, in its Ageing Working Group, to project the public expenditure implications of ageing on pensions, health care, long-term care, unemployment insurance and education.

Keywords: labour productivity; GDP projections; ageing populations; public expenditure; pensions; health care; long-term care; unemployment; education; Carone; Denis; Mc Morrow; Mourre; Röger (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 92 pages
Date: 2006-06
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (29)

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Working Paper: Long-term labour productivity and GDP projections for the EU25 Member States: a production function framework (2006)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:euf:ecopap:0253

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