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427 - Comparing alternative methodologies for real exchange rate assessment - Matteo Salto and Aless

Matteo Salto and Alessandro Turrini

No 427, European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015 from Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission

Abstract: Summary for non-specialistsThis paper compares alternative methodologies for estimating real exchange rate misalignment for EU countries. It is shown that current account-based approaches (based on NFA stabilisation and current account norms) and relative-price based approaches (BEER and PPP-based) deliver broadly consistent assessments, however sometimes differences are non-negligible. Current account-based misalignment appears to be driven to a larger extent by shocks affecting domestic absorption and national savings and quite often becomes manifest before price-based misalignment. All misalignment measures, and especially the BEER, are related with medium-term developments in real exchange rates, while only current-account based misalignment is a significant predictor of forthcoming current account developments.

Keywords: Real; Effective; Exchange; Rate; REER; misalignment; BEER; competitiveness; current; account; norms; current; account; Turrini; Salto; exchange; rate; assessment; Comparing; alternative; methodologies (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F31 F32 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 56 pages
Date: 2010-09
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (38)

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