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Partial Indexation and Inflation Dynamics: What Do the Data Say?

Jean-Guillaume Sahuc

No 04-06, Documents de recherche from Centre d'Études des Politiques Économiques (EPEE), Université d'Evry Val d'Essonne

Abstract: We provide new evidence on the fit of the hybrid Phillips curve based on indexation of prices to lagged inflation and trend inflation for the Euro area and the United States over the period 1970-2002. The GMM-West estimates suggest that (i) a full indexation scheme is not data consistent whereas a partial indexation scheme allows a good fit and (ii) forgetting trend inflation induces overestimating by approximately 3-4 percent of the probability to not change its prices, for reasonable values of trend inflation.

Keywords: Phillips curve; inflation inertia; trend inflation; degree of indexation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C22 E31 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 14 pages
Date: 2004
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (7)

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Journal Article: Partial indexation and inflation dynamics: what do the data say? (2004) Downloads
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