Regenerative Capital for State Capability: A New Architecture for Multi-Cycle Development Finance

Roshan Ghadamian
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Roshan Ghadamian: Institute for Regenerative Systems Architecture

IRSA Working Papers from Institute for Regenerative Systems Architecture

Abstract: Development failures are not primarily caused by insufficient capital, but by capital that behaves incompatibly with the multi-cycle nature of state capability. Grants deplete after one use, concessional loans impose liabilities that amplify fragility, and donor cycles follow political volatility rather than mission cycles. Drawing on Regenerative Cycle Architecture and Regenerative Capital Theory, this paper argues that traditional development finance is structurally incapable of sustaining long-horizon investment in health systems, climate adaptation, scientific capability and institutional renewal. It defines Regenerative Development Finance (RDF) as a non-liability, non-extractive, multi-cycle capital architecture built from Perennial Social Capital and the Δ--Λ operators of Alignment Capital, and specifies it by three primitives: a preserved capital base, a recycling parameter, and a temporal constitution that fixes when capital is released. RDF stabilises capital availability across political turnover, synchronises capital cycles with mission cycles, and attenuates fragility across domains. Applications to climate adaptation, health systems and scientific capability illustrate how regenerative capital may complement existing mechanisms. âš ï¸ Three quantitative claims in the source do not survive contact with the corpus's own arithmetic and are corrected in place rather than carried: the multiplier range belongs to a recycling rate the paper does not use (), the paper's System Value Multiplier is not the one Perennial Social Capital defines and diverges in the regime the paper recommends (), and the worked example in requires the inflow term the model calls optional.

Keywords: development finance; state capability; fragility cycles; regenerative capital; temporal constitution; non-liability capital; multilateral development banks; aid effectiveness (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F35 H63 O19 O23 Q54 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025-12
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