Heterogeneity of beliefs and trade in experimental asset markets

Tim A. Carle, Yaron Lahav, Tibor Neugebauer and Charles Noussair

No 2017-11, Experimental Economics Center Working Paper Series from Experimental Economics Center, Andrew Young School of Policy Studies, Georgia State University

Abstract: We investigate the relationship between traders' expectations and market outcomes with experimental asset market data. The data show that those who have high price expectations buy more frequently and submit higher bids, and those who hold low price expectations sell more frequently and submit lower bids. Traders who have more accurate expectations achieve greater earnings. Simulations using only belief data reproduce the pricing patterns observed in the market well, indicating that the heterogeneity of expectations is a key to explaining market activity.

Pages: 59
Date: 2017-12
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http://excen.gsu.edu/workingpapers/GSU_EXCEN_WP_2017-11.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: Heterogeneity of Beliefs and Trade in Experimental Asset Markets (2019)
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