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Tourism and insecurity in the world

Simplice Asongu (), Joseph Uduji () and Elda Okolo-Obasi ()
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Joseph Uduji: University of Nigeria, Nsukka, Nigeria
Elda Okolo-Obasi: University of Nigeria, Nsukka, Nigeria

No 19/028, Working Papers from European Xtramile Centre of African Studies (EXCAS)

Abstract: The study assesses the role of forces of law and order in modulating the insecurity-tourism nexus in 163 countries for the period 2010 to 2015. Policy syndromes or insecurity dynamics include: violent crime, access to weapons, political instability and perception of criminality while the policy variables of forces of law and order are captured with “security officers & police†and “armed service personnel†. The empirical evidence is based on Negative Binomial regressions. The findings show that the policy variables can be effectively used to crowd-out the negative incidence of policy syndromes on tourist arrivals. The results are contingent on net effects (from conditional and unconditional effects), insecurity dynamics and thresholds. A threshold is an inflexion point at which the unfavorable unconditional effect from a policy syndrome of insecurity on tourist arrivals is completely neutralized by policy variables of forces of law and order. Policy implications are discussed.

Keywords: Insecurity; Peace; Tourism (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D74 Z32 Z38 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-tur
Date: 2019-01
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Forthcoming: International Review of Economics

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http://publications.excas.org/RePEc/exs/exs-wpaper ... ity-in-the-world.pdf Revised version, 2019 (application/pdf)

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Journal Article: Tourism and insecurity in the world (2019) Downloads
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