The Excess Profits during COVID-19 and Their Tax Revenue Potential

Evgeniya Dubinina (), Javier Garcia-Bernardo () and Petr Janský
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Evgeniya Dubinina: Institute of Economic Studies, Faculty of Social Sciences, Charles University, Prague, Czech Republic
Javier Garcia-Bernardo: Department of Methodology and Statistics, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands

No 2022/13, Working Papers IES from Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies

Abstract: The COVID-19 pandemic has affected most companies´ profits negatively, but other companies did exceptionally well, recording excess profits during the pandemic. In this paper we estimate the scale of these excess profits, their determinants, and the revenue potential of excess profits tax. To estimate excess profits, we develop a trend-adjusted average earnings methodology. We apply the methodology to the consolidated Orbis data to estimate that large multinational corporations (MNCs) with subsidiaries in the EU made excess profits of $447 billion in 2020 (41.7% of their total profits in 2020). We show that primary business activities is a key determinant of MNCs´ excess profits made during the COVID-19 pandemic. We show that manufacturing, information, and financial sectors are responsible for the majority of excess profits. With country-by-country reporting data we estimate the excess profits arising from each EU member state and find that EU member states could together raise $6 billion with an excess profits tax of 10%, an additional tax levied by governments on corporations’ excess profits. The research findings may be useful for policymakers in addressing the question of financing economic recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic.

Keywords: excess profits; covid-19; multinational corporations; excess profits tax; european union (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: H25 L11 L25 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 33 pages
Date: 2022-06, Revised 2022-06
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-acc, nep-cfn, nep-eec, nep-ind, nep-pbe and nep-pub
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https://ies.fsv.cuni.cz/en/veda-vyzkum/working-papers/6630 (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: The excess profits during COVID-19 and their tax revenue potential (2024)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:fau:wpaper:wp2022_13

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