Method Versus Cross-Country Heterogeneity in the Exchange Rate Pass-Through

Tersoo Iorngurum

No 2023/16, Working Papers IES from Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies

Abstract: Estimates of the exchange rate pass-through vary significantly across studies, making it difficult for policymakers and researchers to ascertain the true impact of exchange rate fluctuations on domestic prices. I conduct a meta-analysis to understand why estimates differ and provide consensus for the conflicting results. My dataset includes 32 primary studies containing 684 estimates for 108 countries. Because there are many potential causes of heterogeneity, I use Bayesian model averaging to identify the most important ones. I find that estimates vary due to differences in country-specific and methodological characteristics. The country-specific characteristics include central bank independence, inflationary environment, and economic development, while the methodological variables include data frequency, data dimension, and data time span. When I control for differences in methodology and assign greater weight to those that reflect the best practices in the literature, I find that the implied pass-through estimates remain substantial, albeit smaller than suggested in the literature. The pass-through is 6% for developed countries and 9% for developing countries.

Keywords: exchange rate pass-through; prices; heterogeneity; meta-analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F31 F41 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 38 pages
Date: 2023-05, Revised 2023-05
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mon and nep-opm
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