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Climate and the Destination Choice of German Tourists

Jacqueline Hamilton

No 2004.21, Working Papers from Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei

Abstract: The attractiveness of a tourist destination is partly dependent on its environmental and climatic resource base. Climate change can be expected to have an effect on this attractiveness and will subsequently alter patterns of demand. An application of the pooled travel cost model using survey data on the destination choices of German tourists is presented in this study. Data on the climate, beach length and indicators of cultural, natural resource and economic attractiveness of the destination countries are used in the regression analysis. Optimal climate values were calculated and a climate index was used to examine the change in climatic attractiveness under an arbitrary scenario of climate change. It was found that, for European countries during the summer months, there would be an increase in attractiveness. However, the northern European countries become relatively more attractive closing the gap on the currently popular southern European countries.

Keywords: Tourism demand; Climate change; Travel cost model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: L83 Q26 Q54 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2004-02
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-env
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (28)

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