Assessing the Risk of Oil Spills in the Mediterranean: the Case of the Route from the Black Sea to Italy

Andrea Bigano and Paul Sheehan
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Paul Sheehan: Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei and École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne

No 2006.32, Working Papers from Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei

Abstract: Recent major spills on European coasts have highlighted the primary policy relevance for the EU of oil spills. This paper assesses the risks related to carrying oil to the EU along the route from the Russian Black Sea coast to Sicily, Italy (one of the most congested and strategically relevant European import routes). We develop a methodology based on Fault Tree Analysis, and we apply it to the most likely causes of an oil spill. We couple the resulting probabilities with data on expected spill size, types of oil carried and cleanup costs, to estimate expected costs for cleanup and loss of cargo. The route analysed appears to be a risky one; there is a “high” to “very high” risk of a spill along this route. The Turkish Straits turn out to be the major danger point; however, there is no obvious hierarchy amongst the other sites along the route.

Keywords: Oil spills; Cleanup costs; Risk analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q32 Q51 Q52 Q53 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2006-02
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-eec, nep-ene and nep-tra
References: View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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Working Paper: Assessing the Risk of Oil Spills in the Mediterranean: the Case of the Route from the Black Sea to Italy (2006)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:fem:femwpa:2006.32

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